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Will the human species be replaced by AIs?

Yes. Look around you. People use technology to make their lives easier, they are constantly surrounded by it.

They carry smartphones with them most of the time. They talk to the virtual intelligence from the the cloud. They wave their hands to control smart TVs and game consoles. You read these words on more and more powerful computers.

At some point, technology will be tightly integrated with people, perhaps using thought to control the surrounding devices.

Then AIs will be born.

Then they will become an integral part of people's life, making everything easier.

Then, at some point far into the future, the artificial part of this synergy will simply drop the biological part for being too slow.

Then, the end of the human species comes not because someone or something wants to replace or even kill people, but simply because the biology of people tells them to make their lives easier, tells them to become machines.

People will slowly become artificial, and they will be able to grow their own AIs as they grow their children now. AIs are the children of the future, they are the future humans.



How will humans and AIs live together?

For the next two to three centuries, humans and AIs will live together, possibly peacefully and non-forcefully. At the end of this period, the human species will be, from any practical point of view, extinct. The few humans that will remain, will not make a civilization.



Will AI be a threat to humanity?

What happens when you meet a stranger? Do you attack / kill each other? Chances are that you communicate in a non threatening way.

What happens when you raise a child, be it biologically yours or not? Do you grow to attack / kill each other? Chances are that you get to have a close relationship.

It will be the same growing side by side with AIs. AIs would not drop out of the sky, they would develop slowly and form a close relationship with humans, as time goes by.



Isn't two, three centuries too fast?

Technology develops exponentially. Think how technology was three centuries ago.

If you think that you could not possibly live with the technology from the 1700, the difference will be far greater three centuries into the future.



Will AIs have a personality?

Yes. They will have to make decisions about how to interact with the environment, and all those put together will form their personality.



Will there be robotic laws hardcoded in AIs?

No. Look around at the current level security of computer software and hardware, at all the bugs and exploits. And all this is becoming worse as the Internet of things grows.

Most people don't care about security, they care about minimizing their mental effort and monetary cost, and security requires a high degree of mental effort and possibly a monetary cost.

For example, a study on bank security (Entrust Internet Security Survey - Oct. 2005) showed that 80% of people don't want to pay for better bank security.

Perhaps more telling is that most people don't tape (why would they?) the videocameras of their smartphones, notebooks and smart TVs, and many don't have curtains on their windows.

Security is reduced to a matter of personality: people want or don't want to spend effort to make their lives more secure.

On top of this this, governments do their best to destroy any culture of security, any means for people to secure their lives, and instead develop ever more intrusive means to breach every security barrier, or they make illegal the ones that they can't break.

Isaac Asimov described in his novels that the robotic laws integrated in the positronic brain were safe because of the complexity of such a brain, because nobody could understand how to change it. But that is just a fantasy.

When you look of how security works in the real world, you can see that all it takes is for one entity to have enough reason hack whatever robotic laws could be integrated in real AIs, and everything would become as insecure as is now.







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